Mercados preditivos

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

Ben Ferguson

Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 3, 2026?

39.1%

39.0%

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (11/1-11/7)

360+

340-359

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

Will the SAVE Act become law?

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Dec 1, 2027

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Trump's approval rating on Nov 6, 2026?

Above 39.0

38.8 to 39.0

Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?

Gadi Eisenkot

Benjamin Netanyahu

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Ric Grenell

Susie Wiles

Will the House impeach Trump?

Before Aug 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 23

Above 25

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 25

Above 27

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 195

Above 200

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 5

Above 6

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 290

Above 300

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

John Brennan

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Nov 6, 2026?

James Talarico

Abdul El-Sayed

How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

At least 16

At least 17

Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/30-11/6)

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/2 - 11/8)

November 3

November 6

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 185

Above 190

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 290

Above 300

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Oct 1, 2027

How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?

At least 18

At least 19

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 4

Above 5

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/25 - 10/31)

Above 0

Above 1

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

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