Mercados preditivos

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

Scott Jennings

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (8/23-8/29)

100-119

120-139

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Mar 1, 2027

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Aug 2026?

0

1

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/23-8/29)

At least 7

At least 9

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

Andrew Oldham

James Ho

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Amy Gleason

Howard Lutnick

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 331?

Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Oct 1, 2027

Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Oct 1, 2026

Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?

Zohran Mamdani

Benjamin Netanyahu

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 30

Above 35

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Anthony Fauci

John Brennan

Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (August 2026)

At least 70

At least 30

Will the US announce a Venezuelan oil field deal?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2026

Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026?

39.7 to 39.9

39.4 to 39.6

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)

Above 0

Above 1

Will Trump declare an election emergency?

Before Nov 4, 2026

Before Sep 1, 2026

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

Next DCCC chair?

Jamie Raskin

Ami Bera

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?

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