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Elections Mercados preditivos

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

Ícone de mercado Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

Ícone de mercado J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Ícone de mercado Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

Ícone de mercado Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

2028 Republican presidential nominee

Ícone de mercado J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

Ícone de mercado Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer

Chris Van Hollen

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

Ícone de mercado Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

Ícone de mercado Gerald Heikes

Gerald Heikes

Blue wave in 2026?

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Below 45

45

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

56

57

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 14 to 16%

Democrats, 12 to 14%

Mississippi Senate margin of victory

Ícone de mercado Colom, 0.5+ pts

Colom, 0.5+ pts

Ícone de mercado Colom, 0.6+ pts

Colom, 0.6+ pts

NC-05 House winner?

Ícone de mercado Chuck Hubbard

Chuck Hubbard

Ícone de mercado Virginia Foxx

Virginia Foxx

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Texas Senate margin of victory

Ícone de mercado James Talarico, 12.1+ pts

James Talarico, 12.1+ pts

Ícone de mercado James Talarico, 12.2+ pts

James Talarico, 12.2+ pts

2028 Democratic VP nominee

Ícone de mercado James Talarico

James Talarico

Ícone de mercado Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Michigan Senate margin of victory

Ícone de mercado El-Sayed, 7.1+ pts

El-Sayed, 7.1+ pts

Ícone de mercado El-Sayed, 7+ pts

El-Sayed, 7+ pts

120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

Hakeem Jeffries

Steve Scalise

Alaska Senate margin of victory

Ícone de mercado Mary Peltola, 4+ pts

Mary Peltola, 4+ pts

Ícone de mercado Mary Peltola, 4.5+ pts

Mary Peltola, 4.5+ pts

Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)

Above 56

56

Number of Republican governors after the midterms?

At least 26

At least 28

CO-04 House winner?

Ícone de mercado Eileen Laubacher

Eileen Laubacher

Ícone de mercado Lauren Boebert

Lauren Boebert

2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?

120 to 124.99 million

115 to 119.99 million

South Carolina Republican Senate nominee? (2028)

Ícone de mercado Tim Scott

Tim Scott

Ícone de mercado Mark Lynch

Mark Lynch

California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)

No, ≥4%

No, ≥7%

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

Ícone de mercado Chris Van Hollen

Chris Van Hollen

Ícone de mercado Elissa Slotkin

Elissa Slotkin

Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)

Nick Begich III

Bill Hill

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ícone de mercado Chris Christie

Chris Christie

Ícone de mercado Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

2028 U.S. Senate winner?

Democratic party

Republican party

CA-23 House winner?

Ícone de mercado Jay Obernolte

Jay Obernolte

Ícone de mercado Tessa Lynn Hodge

Tessa Lynn Hodge

CA-04 House winner?

Ícone de mercado Eric Jones

Eric Jones

Ícone de mercado Mike Thompson

Mike Thompson

Florida Senate margin of victory

Ícone de mercado Moody, 16+ pts

Moody, 16+ pts

Ícone de mercado Moody, 8+ pts

Moody, 8+ pts

MN-01 House winner?

Ícone de mercado Jake Johnson

Jake Johnson

Ícone de mercado Brad Finstad

Brad Finstad

LA-05 House winner?

Ícone de mercado Gabe Firment

Gabe Firment

Ícone de mercado Pat Moore

Pat Moore

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