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Elections Mercados preditivos

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Colorado Democratic Senate nominee?

John Hickenlooper

Julie Gonzales

California Governor primary: 1st place

Xavier Becerra

Steve Hilton

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Byron Donalds

James Fishback

CO-01 Democratic nominee?

Melat Kiros

Diana DeGette

Colorado Democratic Governor nominee?

Phil Weiser

Michael Bennet

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance

Marco Rubio

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

D-House, D-Senate

D-House, R-Senate

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Karen Bass

Nithya Raman

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

At least 1%

At least 5%

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Abdul El-Sayed

Haley Stevens

Texas Senate winner?

Ken Paxton

James Talarico

Peru Presidential election winner?

Keiko Fujimori

Roberto Sánchez

2028 Republican presidential nominee

J.D. Vance

Marco Rubio

Colorado Republican Governor nominee?

Victor Marx

Barbara Kirkmeyer

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Sara Rodriguez

Francesca Hong

CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?

Melat Kiros, 9-12%

Melat Kiros, 12-15%

Maine Senate winner?

Graham Platner

Susan Collins

California governor primary: Steve Hilton vote percent

24% - 28%

8% - 12%

CO-03 Democratic nominee?

Alex Kelloff

Dwayne Romero

FL-25 Democratic nominee?

Jared Moskowitz

Oliver Larkin

Colorado Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?

Phil Weiser, 3-6%

Phil Weiser, ≥15%

Brazil Presidential election winner?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Flávio Bolsonaro

Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?

Mike Mazzei

Gentner Drummond

Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?

John Hickenlooper, ≥12%

John Hickenlooper, ≥18%

California Governor winner?

Xavier Becerra

Steve Hilton

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

Delcy Rodríguez

Iowa Governor winner?

Rob Sand

Zach Lahn

Nevada Governor winner?

Aaron Ford

Joe Lombardo

2028 Democratic VP nominee

Gretchen Whitmer

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

CO-03 Republican nominee?

Jeff Hurd

Ron Hanks