Marchés de prédiction

Kansas Governor winner?

Cindy Holscher

Ty Masterson

Texas Senate: margin of victory

James Talarico, 0-2%

James Talarico, 2-4%

Alaska Governor winner? (Party)

Democratic party

Republican party

Alaska Governor winner?

Bill Walker

Lesil McGuire

Michigan Senate: margin of victory

Abdul El-Sayed, 6-8%

Abdul El-Sayed, 8-10%

Closest Governor race in 2026?

Kansas

Alaska

Texas Governor: margin of victory

Greg Abbott, ≥12%

Non

Greg Abbott, 10-12%

Non

LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo

Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra

Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra

South Carolina Senate: margin of victory

Annie Andrews, 4-6%

Annie Andrews, 2-4%

Florida Governor: margin of victory

Byron Donalds, 0-2%

Byron Donalds, 2-4%

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

Cindy Holscher and Adam Hamilton win

Ty Masterson and Adam Hamilton win

Florida Senate: margin of victory

Ashley Moody, 2-4%

Ashley Moody, 0-2%

Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?

Troy Jackson

Angie Nixon

Florida Governor: which counties will Byron Donalds win?

Seminole

Duval

Mississippi Governor winner? (2027)

Republican

Democratic

North Carolina Senate: margin of victory

Roy Cooper, 18-20%

Roy Cooper, 12-14%

Ohio Senate: margin of victory

Sherrod Brown, 4-6%

Jon Husted, 2-4%

Non

Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?

Bell

Collin

Maine Senate: margin of victory

Troy Jackson, 4-6%

Troy Jackson, 6-8%

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep

Democratic Governor, Republican Senator

Georgia Senate: margin of victory

Jon Ossoff, 18-20%

Jon Ossoff, 16-18%

California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win?

San Joaquin

Riverside

Kansas Senate: margin of victory

Adam Hamilton, 4-6%

Roger Marshall, 2-4%

Non

Ohio Governor: margin of victory

Amy Acton, 8-10%

Amy Acton, 6-8%

Iowa Senate: margin of victory

Josh Turek, 4-6%

Josh Turek, 2-4%

Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?

Duval

Pinellas

Number of Republican governors after the midterms?

At least 19

At least 22

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)

At least 3

At least 8

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026?

2

3

Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo

Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House

Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor

Larger margin: Graham or Donalds?

Byron Donalds

Darline Graham

New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?

Nassau

Warren

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