Marchés de prédiction

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep

D-House, R-Senate

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Above 249

230-233

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

Closest Senate race in 2026?

Iowa

Texas

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%

Democrats, 10 to 12%

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

Ty Masterson and Roger Marshall win

Cindy Holscher and Adam Hamilton win

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

Ohio Governor-Senate combo

Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win

Vivek Ramaswamy and Sherrod Brown win

How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

9

10

How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

10

12

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep

Republicans sweep

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win

Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win

Maine Governor-Senate combo

Hannah Pingree and Troy Jackson win

Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win

Michigan Governor-Senate combo

Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win

Jocelyn Benson and Mike Rogers win

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win

Kelly Ayotte and John E. Sununu win

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Democratic Party

Republican Party

How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?

5 or more

Exactly 4

How many House seats will Democrats win in North Carolina?

5

4

Texas Governor-Senate combo

Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win

Gina Hinojosa and James Talarico win

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

At least 28

At least 31

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico

Bo French & Ken Paxton

Iowa Governor-Senate combo

Rob Sand and Josh Turek win

Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win

How many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio?

6

5

Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo

Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House

Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor

How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?

7

8

How many House seats will Democrats win in California?

48

47

How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?

5

6

Minnesota Governor-Senate combo

Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win

Amy Klobuchar and Michele Tafoya win

How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?

Exactly 0

Exactly 1

Midterms: Blue trickle?

Closest Governor race in 2026?

Ohio

Georgia

Florida Governor-Senate combo

David Jolly and Angie Nixon win

David Jolly and Ashley Moody win

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