Marchés de prédiction

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Hike 25bps

Fed maintains rate

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Hike 25bps

Fed maintains rate

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts

Exactly 1 cut

Number of rate hikes in 2026?

Exactly 2

Exactly 3

SOFR for September 24, 2026

Exactly 3.87%

3.82% or Below

Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Above 4.50%

Above 4.75%

Fed decision in Jan 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Next Fed rate hike?

Before July 2028

Before 2027

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

Exactly 2

Exactly 3

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Above 3.25%

Above 4.00%

Fed decision in Mar 2027?

Hike 25bps

Fed maintains rate

SOFR at end of Q4 2026

Above 3.75%

Above 4.00%

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?

Above 4.00%

Above 4.25%

Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Beth Hammack

Lorie Logan

UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026

Above 4.90%

Above 5.00%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Above 4.00%

Above 4.25%

Fed decision in Apr 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

Above 3.50%

Above 4.25%

Next Fed rate cut?

Before July 2027

Before July 2028

Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?

Above 3.75%

Above 4.25%

Fed decision in Dec 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

0 cuts

2 cuts

SOFR at end of Q3 2026

Above 3.25%

Above 4.25%

Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026

Above $6.8 trillion

Above $6.9 trillion

Fed median dot plot in December 2026

Above 4.3%

Above 4.5%

Will the Fed publish a dot plot in December?

Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?

Above 4.25%

Above 4.50%

Fed funds rate after Jul 2027 meeting?

Above 0.00%

Above 0.25%

Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting?

Above 4.00%

Above 4.75%

Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting?

Above 0.25%

Above 0.00%

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