Mercados de predicción Science and Technology

Best AI at the end of 2026?
icono de mercado Gemini
Gemini
icono de mercado Claude
Claude
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
DeepSeek market share this week
icono de mercado Above 31.2%
Above 31.2%
icono de mercado Above 31.7%
Above 31.7%
Vol. 153.527 US$
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?
Before Dec 31, 2026
Before Nov 13, 2026
Vol. 426.560 US$
OpenAI market share this week
icono de mercado Above 18.9%
Above 18.9%
icono de mercado Above 19.1%
Above 19.1%
Vol. 77.009 US$
Google market share this week
icono de mercado Above 14.3%
Above 14.3%
icono de mercado Above 14.9%
Above 14.9%
Vol. 102.569 US$
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 12, 2026
icono de mercado Above 59.4%
Above 59.4%
icono de mercado Above 67.4%
Above 67.4%
HOY a las 5:00 a. m.
Anthropic market share this week
icono de mercado Above 6.0%
Above 6.0%
icono de mercado Above 6.3%
Above 6.3%
Vol. 62.305 US$
Best AI this week
icono de mercado Gemini
Gemini
icono de mercado Claude
Claude
9 nov a las 5:00 p. m.
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
Vol. 282.030 US$
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
icono de mercado Anthropic
Anthropic
icono de mercado Google
Google
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
Best AI this month
icono de mercado Gemini
Gemini
icono de mercado Claude
Claude
30 nov a las 5:00 a. m.
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
Before Jan 1, 2033
Before Jan 1, 2029
Vol. 58.063 US$
Moonshot AI share of spend on Nov 12, 2026 (Vercel)
icono de mercado Above 10.1%
Above 10.1%
icono de mercado Above 9.0%
Above 9.0%
12 nov a las 5:00 a. m.
OpenAI share of requests on Nov 12, 2026 (Vercel)
icono de mercado Above 18.4%
Above 18.4%
icono de mercado Above 20.1%
Above 20.1%
12 nov a las 5:00 a. m.
Next Gemini Pro model release
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 16, 2026
Vol. 67.397 US$
OpenRouter token usage in Nov 9–15, 2026
icono de mercado Above 215T tokens
Above 215T tokens
icono de mercado Above 218T tokens
Above 218T tokens
Vol. 22.511 US$
Anthropic share of spend on Nov 12, 2026 (Vercel)
icono de mercado Above 32.1%
Above 32.1%
icono de mercado Above 30.6%
Above 30.6%
12 nov a las 5:00 a. m.
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Vol. 491.570 US$
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
Nevada
Georgia
Vol. 44.830 US$
When will AI score above 185 on Epoch Capabilities Index?
icono de mercado Before Feb 1, 2027
Before Feb 1, 2027
icono de mercado Before Apr 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
Vol. 3512 US$
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Denver, CO
Las Vegas, NV
Vol. 491.728 US$
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
Vol. 94.283 US$
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
Vol. 224.940 US$
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
icono de mercado Before 2030
Before 2030
icono de mercado Before 2028
Before 2028
Vol. 902.764 US$
OpenAI share of spend on Nov 12, 2026 (Vercel)
icono de mercado Above 14.0%
Above 14.0%
icono de mercado Above 12.7%
Above 12.7%
12 nov a las 5:00 a. m.
Google share of requests on Nov 12, 2026 (Vercel)
icono de mercado Above 7.5%
Above 7.5%
icono de mercado Above 8.8%
Above 8.8%
12 nov a las 5:00 a. m.
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
icono de mercado OpenAI
OpenAI
icono de mercado Meta
Meta
Vol. 480.696 US$
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
Vol. 3909 US$
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Vol. 583.371 US$
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 70%
At least 80%
Vol. 68.444 US$
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 14, 2026
icono de mercado Above 71.7%
Above 71.7%
icono de mercado Above 72.3%
Above 72.3%
15 nov a las 5:00 a. m.
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Vol. 159.799 US$
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