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Mercados de predicción Science and Technology

Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
Vol. 59.465.460 US$
How many launches will SpaceX have in July?
Above 13
Above 14
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Best AI this week
Claude
Gemini
20 jul a las 4:00 p. m.
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August
Before July 24th
Vol. 504.099 US$
Best AI in Jul 2026?
Claude
Kimi
Vol. 848.886 US$
Top AI model in July?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Vol. 2.011.560 US$
Total space launches in July
Above 15
Above 16
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
27 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 160
Above 170
Vol. 1.010.835 US$
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
Vol. 300.064 US$
Top Coding AI this week
Kimi
Claude
20 jul a las 4:00 p. m.
How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?
Above 15
Above 16
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
When will Anthropic release the next Claude Opus model?
Before Jul 31, 2026
Before Jul 24, 2026
Vol. 22.069 US$
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Gemini
Vol. 200.132 US$
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Radiant Industries
Vol. 243.875 US$
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
Vol. 1.386.333 US$
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Vol. 658.484 US$
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Aug 31, 2026
Before Aug 16, 2026
Vol. 99.239 US$
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before November
Before September
Vol. 94.209 US$
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 3000
No
Above 4000
No
Vol. 1.335.474 US$
Top Math AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
Vol. 701.998 US$
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
Before October
Before September
Vol. 95.149 US$
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
At least 75%
At least 80%
Vol. 29.829 US$
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Clip-on device for clothing
Earbuds/Headphones
Vol. 247.912 US$
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1540 score
Vol. 147.970 US$
Number of US data centers at the end of 2026?
At least 5,000
At least 5,100
Vol. 71.687 US$
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5
4
Vol. 43.130 US$