Mercados de predicciones

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Ben Ferguson

Scott Jennings

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Howard Lutnick

Stanley Woodward

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 20

Above 23

Will the House impeach Trump?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

Will Jensen Huang testify in front of Congress?

Before Jul 2027

Before Jan 2027

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 185

Above 190

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 190

Above 195

Trump's approval rating on Nov 13, 2026?

38.7 to 38.9

38.4 to 38.6

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (11/8-11/14)

60-79

80-99

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2027

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?

5 or more

4

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 334?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

John Brennan

Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Before Dec 25, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 5

Above 6

How many House Republicans will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?

At least 3

At least 1

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (11/8-11/14)

At least 6

At least 7

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Howard Lutnick

Markwayne Mullin

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Will the filibuster be weakened?

Before Jul 1, 2029

Before Jan 20, 2029

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)

November 11

November 12

How many vulnerabilities will CISA add to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026?

At least 30

At least 35

Which Representatives will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?

French Hill

Henry Cuellar

Will Trump be impeached during his term?

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (11/9-11/15)

4

5

Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 12, 2026?

38.7%

38.6%

Will Trump resign during his term?

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