Mercados de predicciones

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 28, 2026?

38.7%

38.6%

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)

Above 25

Above 30

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

Scott Jennings

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 2, 2026?

James Talarico

Abdul El-Sayed

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)

Above 5

Above 10

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3)

140-159

160-179

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jul 1, 2027

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Sep 2026?

3

0

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)

Above 150

Above 175

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/21-9/27)

0

1

Which AI CEOs will Trump meet this month?

Mark Zuckerberg

Sundar Pichai

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Oct 1, 2026

When will Trump officially rename AI?

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Oct 1, 2026

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Pete Hegseth

Doug Collins

Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2026

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)

Above 25

Above 30

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (9/20 - 9/26)

Above 0

Above 1

How many Senate seats will Independents win in the Midterms?

At least 1

At least 2

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)

Above 175

Above 200

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026?

38.5 to 38.7

Below 38.2

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

How many states will Trump visit in Sep 2026?

At least 9

At least 10

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Mar 1, 2027

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Oct 1, 2027

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

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