Mercados de predicciones

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026?

8.4%

Below 8.4%

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 22

Above 25

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 20

Above 25

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Dec 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2027

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 5

Above 6

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?

James Talarico

Abdul El-Sayed

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 12, 2026?

40+

30-39

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

140-159

120-139

Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

37.9 to 38.1

37.6 to 37.8

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Oct 1, 2027

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 13, 2026?

38.1%

38.0%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 300

Above 320

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2026

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

At least 22

At least 23

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Cassidy Hutchinson

Ilhan Omar

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 200

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2027

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5

Above 6

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 2029

Before Jul 1, 2027

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 180

Above 190

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

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