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Mercados de predicción Science and Technology

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Sacramento, CA
Pittsburgh, PA
Vol. 501.093 US$
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Vol. 651.183 US$
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
Vol. 59.289.497 US$
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Sep 16, 2026
Vol. 1.064.614 US$
Qwen market share this week
Above 5%
Above 4.9%
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 31 - Sep 6
Above 104T tokens
Above 116T tokens
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
OpenAI market share this week
Above 20%
Above 20.5%
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Vol. 1.446.226 US$
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
Above 9
Above 10
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Google market share this week
Above 21.5%
Above 22%
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
Xiaomi market share this week
Above 2.6%
Above 2.8%
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
ChatGPT
Claude
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 21.5%
Above 22.5%
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
Anthropic market share this week
Above 2.4%
Above 2.6%
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
Most popular AI this week
DeepSeek
Xiaomi
Vol. 37.663 US$
Top AI model in September?
claude-fable-5.1-max
claude-opus-5-max
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 140
Above 160
Vol. 1.251.347 US$
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2029
Before 2028
Vol. 203.372 US$
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
Vol. 233.653 US$
Top Chinese AI Company this month
Alibaba
Moonshot
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
Vol. 107.832 US$
When will OpenAI release Astra?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
Vol. 443.071 US$
NASA lands on the moon?
icono de mercado Before 2030
Before 2030
icono de mercado Before 2029
Before 2029
Vol. 1.069.307 US$
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
Vol. 317.445 US$
Tencent market share this week
Above 2.4%
Above 2.6%
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
Will the FDA approve camizestrant for advanced breast cancer?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Jan 1, 2027
Vol. 39.395 US$
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Vol. 699.353 US$
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
Burundi
India
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Vol. 1.580.923 US$
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
ChatGPT
Claude
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.