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Mercados de predicción Science and Technology

Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before July 24th
Before July 21st
Vol. 796.588 US$
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
Vol. 59.075.222 US$
Top Coding AI this week
Kimi
Claude
Vol. 555.775 US$
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
20 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
How many launches will SpaceX have in July?
Above 13
Above 14
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Best AI in Jul 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Vol. 781.243 US$
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
Vol. 3.165.210 US$
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
South Sudan
Rwanda
Vol. 601.123 US$
Best AI this week
Claude
Qwen
Vol. 273.464 US$
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Vol. 1.983.593 US$
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 150
Above 160
Vol. 989.246 US$
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Aug 16, 2026
Before Jul 31, 2026
Vol. 108.476 US$
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
Above 10k
Above 14k
Vol. 12.481 US$
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
Vol. 283.975 US$
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
Before October
Before September
Vol. 91.873 US$
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
When will Anthropic release the next Claude Opus model?
Before Jul 22, 2026
Before Jul 21, 2026
Vol. 4040 US$
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
No
Above 6000
No
Vol. 1.305.948 US$
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Apr 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2028
Vol. 130.294 US$
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Will Sawin
Sam Raskin
Vol. 279.233 US$
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $7.67
Above $7.97
Vol. 117.955 US$
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Vol. 585.473 US$
How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?
Above 15
Above 16
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Top AI model in July?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Top Math AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before 2027
Before December
Vol. 327.847 US$
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
Vol. 137.285 US$
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Vol. 651.723 US$
Will Anthropic disable Fable 5 access for US customers?
Before Aug 31, 2026
Before Jul 31, 2026
Vol. 23.950 US$
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Radiant Industries
Vol. 231.675 US$