Mercados de predicciones

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026?

38.8%

38.7%

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jul 1, 2027

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

Scott Jennings

How many states will Trump visit in Sep 2026?

At least 8

At least 9

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms

Doctors Without Borders

Generic congressional ballot on Sep 30, 2026?

Above 8.5%

8.5%

Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2026

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3)

At least 6

At least 7

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before 2028

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)

Above 20

Above 25

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026?

38.5 to 38.7

38.2 to 38.4

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?

How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Sep 2026?

3

0

Will Democrats win a House supermajority in the Midterms?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jan 20, 2029

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Mar 1, 2027

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (9/27 - 10/3)

Above 0

Above 1

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3)

120-139

140-159

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Doug Collins

Pete Hegseth

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Before January 21, 2029

Before 2027

Will Trump resign during his term?

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 332?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/27-10/3)

At least 1

At least 10

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4)

October 1

October 2

Will Trump declare an election emergency?

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)

Above 6

Above 8

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

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