Mercados de predicciones

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Howard Lutnick

Kevin Hassett

Vol. 7.165.650 US$

Will Jensen Huang testify in front of Congress?

Before Jan 2027

Before Dec 2026

Vol. 524.999 US$

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Ben Ferguson

Scott Jennings

Vol. 12.450.010 US$

When will the FAA announce the ground stop is lifted?

Before Nov 13, 10:00 PM EST

Before Nov 13, 6:00 PM EST

Vol. 492.437 US$

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 320

Above 330

Vol. 107.623 US$

Will the House impeach Trump?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

Vol. 5.477.228 US$

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

Vol. 3.223.831 US$

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?

5 or more

4

Vol. 251.351 US$

Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?

Before Feb 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Vol. 79.741 US$

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 20

Above 23

Vol. 334.893 US$

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 180

Above 185

Vol. 126.680 US$

What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?

Equipment or system failure

Human error

Vol. 90.325 US$

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

John Brennan

Vol. 2.647.959 US$

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (11/8 - 11/14)

Above 0

Above 1

Vol. 25.368 US$

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Nov 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2027

Vol. 8.951.809 US$

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 334?

Yes

No

Vol. 136.195 US$

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (11/8-11/14)

<60

60-79

Vol. 171.029 US$

Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?

Yes

No

Vol. 267.333 US$

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes

No

Vol. 16.115.272 US$

Will the Senate begin an impeachment trial of Pete Hegseth?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

Vol. 28.649 US$

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 200

Above 205

Vol. 123.209 US$

How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

Below 36%

Below 35.5%

Vol. 373.716 US$

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?

Before Mar 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

Vol. 893.917 US$

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

Yes

No

Vol. 940.795 US$

When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

Vol. 54.314 US$

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (11/8-11/14)

At least 6

At least 7

Vol. 129.988 US$

Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

Chris Pappas

Josh Turek

Vol. 18.120 US$

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

Vol. 8.433.995 US$

How many vulnerabilities will CISA add to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026?

At least 30

At least 35

Vol. 64.179 US$

Will Jensen Huang talk to Trump again in Nov 2026?

Yes

No

Vol. 20.859 US$

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)

November 15

November 14

Vol. 40.879 US$

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Vol. 3.198.275 US$

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