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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Charlotte, NC
Sacramento, CA
$496,443 vol
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
$403,856 vol
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$59,077,418 vol
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$1,401,184 vol
When will OpenAI release Astra?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
$510,370 vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Sep 16, 2026
$997,726 vol
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
$220,871 vol
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
Above 9
Above 10
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
ChatGPT
Claude
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
Claude
ChatGPT
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
OpenAI market share this week
Above 19.5%
Above 20%
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1540 score
$292,644 vol
OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 31 - Sep 6
Above 110T tokens
Above 112T tokens
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
Before 2035
Before 2032
$225,505 vol
Tencent market share this week
Above 3.2%
Above 3.4%
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
Google market share this week
Above 20%
Above 20.5%
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 22.5%
Above 23.5%
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030 market icon
Before 2030
Before 2029 market icon
Before 2029
$1,062,645 vol
Anthropic market share this week
Above 2.6%
Above 2.8%
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
$1,559,221 vol
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
$258,950 vol
OpenRouter AI token usage in September
Above 450T tokens
Above 500T tokens
Sep 27 @ 4:00 AM
Top Chinese AI Company this month
Alibaba
Moonshot
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Most popular AI this week
Z.ai
OpenAI
Aug 30 @ 4:00 AM
Top AI model in September?
claude-fable-5.1-max
claude-opus-5-high
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
Alibaba
Moonshot
Aug 31 @ 2:00 PM
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$693,625 vol
Xiaomi market share this week
Above 2.6%
Above 2.4%
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
Tesla Optimus released this year?
$734,069 vol
Pandemic in 2026?
$1,414,704 vol