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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$59,239,293 vol
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
Jul 20 @ 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this week
ChatGPT
Claude
$657,854 vol
How many launches will SpaceX have in July?
Above 13
Above 14
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Best AI this week
Qwen
Amazon Nova
$297,196 vol
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before July 24th
Before July 21st
$339,748 vol
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
No
Above 6000
No
$1,320,188 vol
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $7.07
Yes
Above $7.67
$130,337 vol
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Yu Deng
Alexander Efimov
$295,798 vol
Pandemic in 2026?
$1,315,268 vol
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 150
Above 160
$999,077 vol
Top AI model in July?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
South Sudan
Burundi
$609,665 vol
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Aug 31, 2026
Before Aug 16, 2026
$113,620 vol
When will Anthropic release the next Claude Opus model?
Before Jul 24, 2026
Before Jul 22, 2026
$10,513 vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
$290,395 vol
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Earbuds/Headphones
Clip-on device for clothing
$242,232 vol
Top Math AI this month
Claude
Gemini
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
$98,542 vol
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
$115,208 vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,987,396 vol
Will Anthropic disable Fable 5 access for US customers?
Before Aug 31, 2026
Before Jul 31, 2026
$27,214 vol
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
$207,948 vol
Best AI in Jul 2026?
Claude
Gemini
$792,318 vol
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
$3,168,048 vol
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5
4
$38,830 vol
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $6.39
Above $6.09
$59,804 vol
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
$499,924 vol
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before December
Before 2027
$330,155 vol