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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
$23,482,681 vol
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Scott Jennings
Anna Kelly
$4,436,512 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$24,843,713 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (8/23-8/29)
200-219
220-240
$227,223 vol
Which company is behind Ox Alpha?
Z.ai
No listed company
$273,520 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
$5,327,785 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$9,584,865 vol
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
$7,493,039 vol
Trump's approval rating on Aug 28, 2026?
39.4 to 39.6
39.7 to 39.9
$76,298 vol
Will the SAVE America Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$3,489,207 vol
Next DCCC chair?
Jason Crow
Greg Stanton
$27,920 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)
Above 30
Above 35
$35,790 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Amy Gleason market icon
Amy Gleason
Susie Wiles market icon
Susie Wiles
$9,145,868 vol
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Emil Bove
James Ho
$1,353,990 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
$5,720,142 vol
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
Zohran Mamdani
Jensen Huang
$141,717 vol
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Anthony Fauci market icon
Anthony Fauci
John Brennan market icon
John Brennan
$2,861,871 vol
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)
At least 3
At least 5
$21,942 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
$877,083 vol
When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?
Before Sep 15, 2026
Before Sep 8, 2026
$132,169 vol
When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?
Before Oct 2, 2026
Before Sep 26, 2026
$13,800 vol
Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
Before December 1, 2026
Before November 1, 2026
$351,125 vol
Will the federal gas tax be suspended?
$301,508 vol
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/23 - 8/29)
$12,259 vol
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
$501,984 vol
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/23-8/29)
At least 5
At least 6
$11,454 vol
Trump's approval rating on Aug 26, 2026?
39.7
39.6
TODAY @ 3:00 PM
Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$226,261 vol
Deportations in 2026?
Above 450,000
Above 500,000
$253,851 vol
Will the Kentucky State Fair ham auction set a record?
$7,134 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
$24,407 vol
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (August 2026)
At least 70
At least 30
$105,803 vol