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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
$18,689,875 vol
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2028
$5,546,559 vol
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Anna Kelly
Scott Jennings
$8,960,041 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$5,786,206 vol
Will the Anaheim Angels naming bill become law?
$190,892 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$26,351,643 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
$6,140,118 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/6-9/12)
>240
220-240
$114,639 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Amy Gleason market icon
Amy Gleason
Steve Witkoff market icon
Steve Witkoff
$8,036,325 vol
Trump's approval rating on Sep 11, 2026?
39.4 to 39.6
39.7 to 39.9
$122,336 vol
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (9/6 - 9/12)
Above 1
Above 2
$28,014 vol
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/7-9/13)
7
6
$69,529 vol
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/6-9/12)
At least 5
At least 6
$29,791 vol
Will Trump resign during his term?
$779,774 vol
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
$1,423,886 vol
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/6 - 9/12)
$33,976 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
$272,599 vol
Will California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
$15,716 vol
How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
At least 4
At least 5
$66,289 vol
Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
$1,280,495 vol
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
$206,136 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
$244,958 vol
Will Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?
$7,771 vol
Who will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention?
Vivek Ramaswamy market icon
Vivek Ramaswamy
Lara Trump market icon
Lara Trump
$100,909 vol
When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$175,480 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
$5,708,099 vol
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Before Jun 1, 2027
Before Jan 31, 2028
$551,574 vol
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
$14,610,635 vol
Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
$20,283 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
Above 25
Above 30
$9,976 vol
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
Venezuela market icon
Venezuela
Cuba market icon
Cuba
$3,547,097 vol
Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?
$72,894 vol