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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Sacramento, CA
Detroit, MI
$500,236 vol
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
$576,495 vol
Qwen market share this week
Above 5.4%
Above 5.5%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
ChatGPT
Claude
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 31 - Sep 6
Above 116T tokens
Above 118T tokens
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2028
Before 2030
$1,441,871 vol
OpenAI market share this week
Above 18.5%
Above 19.5%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Top Open Source AI this week
Kimi
GLM
Sep 11 @ 4:00 AM
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Sep 16, 2026
$1,026,343 vol
Xiaomi market share this week
Above 2.4%
Above 3.8%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Top Text to Image AI this week
OpenAI
Google
Sep 11 @ 4:00 AM
Top Text to Video AI this week
PixVerse
Lightricks
Sep 11 @ 4:00 AM
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 23.5%
Above 24.5%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Anthropic market share this week
Above 2.8%
Above 3.0%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Google market share this week
Above 20%
Above 20.5%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Top Chinese AI Company this month
Alibaba
Moonshot
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Top Text to Speech AI this week
Cartesia
Alibaba
Sep 11 @ 4:00 AM
Top AI model in September?
claude-fable-5.1-max
claude-opus-5-high
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,579,928 vol
When will OpenAI release Astra?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Sep 18, 2026
$438,871 vol
Tencent market share this week
Above 2.4%
Above 2.6%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Most popular AI this week
Xiaomi
Z.ai
Aug 30 @ 4:00 AM
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 60%
At least 65%
$61,922 vol
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
$228,573 vol
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
ChatGPT
Claude
$264,015 vol
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $6.39
Above $6.69
$54,897 vol
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
Alibaba
Moonshot
Aug 31 @ 2:00 PM
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
$314,862 vol
Next Gemini Pro model release
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
$16,076 vol
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$697,266 vol