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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

How many launches will SpaceX have in July?
Above 13
Above 14
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$58,036,467 vol
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
Jul 13 @ 4:00 PM
Best AI in Jul 2026?
Claude
Gemini
$711,633 vol
Top AI model in July?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
Jul 20 @ 4:00 AM
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $7.67
Above $7.37
$103,748 vol
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
South Sudan
Rwanda
$567,758 vol
Top Coding AI this week
ChatGPT
Claude
Jul 13 @ 4:00 PM
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Jul 31, 2026
Before Jul 24, 2026
$73,563 vol
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Earbuds/Headphones
Tablet
$228,486 vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
$263,551 vol
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Will Sawin
Sam Raskin
$271,649 vol
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August 17th
Before July 17th
$361,648 vol
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Top Math AI this month
Claude
Gemini
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
$81,715 vol
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
$1,363,039 vol
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
No
Above 6000
No
$1,294,318 vol
Will Anthropic disable Fable 5 access for US customers?
Before Aug 31, 2026
Before Jul 31, 2026
$19,162 vol
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
$3,127,239 vol
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
above 1495
above 1510
$30,230 vol
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $5.49
Above $5.19
$50,933 vol
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Apr 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2028
$126,307 vol
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
$202,873 vol
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 1
Above 0
$219,556 vol
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
Before October
Before September
$86,273 vol
Pandemic in 2026?
$1,302,302 vol
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
$42,735 vol
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$1,179,099 vol