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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
Above 10
Above 11
Aug 31 @ 4:00 AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$63,707,258 vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$840,533 vol
When will OpenAI release Astra?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 18, 2026
$228,446 vol
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
South Sudan
China
$703,578 vol
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
Above 10
Above 11
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
Alibaba
Tencent
Aug 31 @ 2:00 PM
Most popular AI this week
Z.ai
DeepSeek
Aug 30 @ 4:00 AM
Next Gemini Flash model release
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Sep 16, 2026
$26,305 vol
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
$198,493 vol
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$676,903 vol
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
$232,526 vol
NVIDIA RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down by Sep 4, 2026?
$8,200 vol
Total space launches in August
Above 13
Above 15
$111,325 vol
OpenAI corporate adoption rate in August
Above 40%
Above 39.5%
$23,634 vol
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$88,746 vol
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
ChatGPT
$254,926 vol
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 60%
At least 65%
$54,195 vol
When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$210,515 vol
NVIDIA H200 Compute Price Up or Down by Sep 4, 2026?
$7,302 vol
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 140
Above 150
$1,220,551 vol
Top AI model in September?
claude-opus-5-max
claude-opus-5-high
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Sep 4, 2026?
$6,672 vol
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
$3,931 vol
Top Chinese AI Company this month
Alibaba
DeepSeek
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Before Jul 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$74,901 vol
When will Google release Gemini 4?
Before Nov 15, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
$16,622 vol
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Sacramento, CA
San Diego, CA
$150,311 vol
Tesla Optimus released this year?
$720,475 vol
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
Above 26k
Above 28k
$66,273 vol