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Politics Prediction Markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
Above 23 market icon
Above 23
Above 25 market icon
Above 25
$264,595 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$3,123,822 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
Above 5 market icon
Above 5
Above 6 market icon
Above 6
$107,266 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)
November 13 market icon
November 13
November 11 market icon
November 11
$27,437 vol
When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?
Before Mar 1, 2027
Before Feb 1, 2027
$54,641 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$2,244,060 vol
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
$472,415 vol
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
$1,096,411 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$2,054,953 vol
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Above 40
Above 30
$228,712 vol
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
Before 2028
Before 2027
$248,440 vol
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
$345,474 vol
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (November 2026)
At least 8 market icon
At least 8
At least 9 market icon
At least 9
$9,789 vol
Will the U.S. and Iran hold a China-mediated meeting before Feb 1, 2027?
$935 vol
Hormuz traffic × July 2027 gas price
Hormuz traffic: Back to normal, Gas price: $3.40 to $3.79 market icon
Hormuz traffic: Back to normal, Gas price: $3.40 to $3.79
Hormuz traffic: Back to normal, Gas price: $3.80 to $4.19 market icon
Hormuz traffic: Back to normal, Gas price: $3.80 to $4.19
$0 vol
Iran nuclear deal × WTI at end of 2027
Iran deal: Agreed, WTI: $60 to $74.99 market icon
Iran deal: Agreed, WTI: $60 to $74.99
Iran deal: Agreed, WTI: $75 to $89.99 market icon
Iran deal: Agreed, WTI: $75 to $89.99
$0 vol