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Politics Prediction Markets

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
$28,221 vol
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
$2,479,221 vol
How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
At least 4
At least 5
$82,994 vol
Which states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028?
Alaska market icon
Alaska
Alabama market icon
Alabama
$1,267 vol
Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026?
$181,824 vol
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
$108,995 vol
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?
Mary Peltola market icon
Mary Peltola
Dan Osborn market icon
Dan Osborn
$15,194 vol
Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?
$83,937 vol
NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?
Increase 0.01-0.99%
Decrease 0-0.99%
$177,723 vol
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?
$66,797 vol
Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
$14,365 vol
Jessica Tisch departure announced?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
$59,423 vol
When will Ottawa's Trump Avenue be renamed?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Sep 1, 2027
$13,473 vol
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
Before 2029
Before 2030
$213,567 vol
Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
$10,620 vol
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
Peter Thiel
Larry Page
$47,106 vol
Will congestion pricing in NYC end before 2027?
$2,243 vol
Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
$21,069 vol
Will any state enact a data center moratorium law in 2026?
$13,332 vol
How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?
Above 160,000
Above 170,000
$25,615 vol
Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
$3,799 vol
Will Democrats hold a midterm convention?
$34,083 vol
Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
Atlanta, GA
Boulder, CO
$1,592 vol
Will NYC buses become free before 2027?
$59,418 vol
Jacob Frey out as Mayor of Minneapolis?
$62,172 vol
Will Georgia officially switch to permanent daylight saving time?
$4,514 vol
Will Honolulu Charter Question 4 pass?
Nov 3 @ 1:00 PM
Will League City vote to keep its Flock cameras?
Nov 3 @ 3:00 PM
Will North Dakota ban cloud seeding?
$26 vol
Will Nashville commercial property tax relief become law?
$0 vol
Will Tennessee regulate data center water use?
$10,693 vol
Will Virginia require data centers to use clean energy?
$8,111 vol
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