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Mercados de predicción Science and Technology

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Charlotte, NC
Sacramento, CA
Vol. 497.629 US$
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Vol. 477.958 US$
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
Vol. 313.541 US$
OpenAI market share this week
Above 19.0%
Above 19.5%
6 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
Top Text to Speech AI this week
Alibaba
Cartesia
11 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Anthropic market share this week
Above 2.8%
Above 3.0%
6 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Google market share this week
Above 20%
Above 20.5%
6 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 31 - Sep 6
Above 116T tokens
Above 114T tokens
6 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
Vol. 1.008.277 US$
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 23.5%
Above 24.5%
6 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
Alibaba
Moonshot
31 ago a las 2:00 p. m.
Tencent market share this week
Above 3.6%
Above 3.4%
6 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
OpenRouter AI token usage in September
Above 450T tokens
Above 500T tokens
27 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Qwen market share this week
Above 4.9%
Above 5%
6 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Vol. 1.573.571 US$
When will OpenAI release Astra?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
Vol. 432.723 US$
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Vol. 1.408.054 US$
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Apr 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
Vol. 226.738 US$
Top Chinese AI Company this month
Alibaba
Moonshot
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
Vol. 261.765 US$
Top Text to Image AI this week
OpenAI
Nvidia
11 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Most popular AI this week
Tencent
DeepSeek
30 ago a las 4:00 a. m.
Top Open Source AI this week
Kimi
GLM
11 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
Claude
ChatGPT
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Vol. 696.549 US$
Xiaomi market share this week
Above 2.6%
Above 2.4%
6 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
When will Google release Gemini 4?
Before Nov 15, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
Vol. 41.031 US$
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 60%
At least 65%
Vol. 60.069 US$
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
ChatGPT
Claude
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
Vol. 53.721 US$