Mercados de predicción Science and Technology

Google market share this week
icono de mercado Above 19.5%
Above 19.5%
icono de mercado Above 20.8%
Above 20.8%
19 oct a las 2:00 p. m.
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
Vol. 66.617.853 US$
OpenAI market share this week
icono de mercado Above 18.1%
Above 18.1%
icono de mercado Above 18.4%
Above 18.4%
19 oct a las 2:00 p. m.
DeepSeek market share this week
icono de mercado Above 24.1%
Above 24.1%
icono de mercado Above 24.4%
Above 24.4%
19 oct a las 2:00 p. m.
Best AI at the end of 2026?
icono de mercado Claude
Claude
icono de mercado Gemini
Gemini
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 16, 2026
Above 49.4%
Above 67.0%
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
Best AI in Oct 2026?
Gemini
Claude
31 oct a las 4:00 a. m.
Best AI this week
Gemini
Claude
12 oct a las 4:00 p. m.
Anthropic market share this week
icono de mercado Above 4.0%
Above 4.0%
icono de mercado Above 4.5%
Above 4.5%
19 oct a las 2:00 p. m.
Measles cases in 2026?
icono de mercado Above 7000
Above 7000
icono de mercado Above 8000
Above 8000
Vol. 1.253.782 US$
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
icono de mercado Above 41.2%
Above 41.2%
icono de mercado Above 42.6%
Above 42.6%
18 oct a las 4:00 a. m.
How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
Above 10
Above 11
31 oct a las 4:00 a. m.
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
Vol. 4.030.126 US$
Top AI model this week
icono de mercado gemini-4-argon-high
gemini-4-argon-high
icono de mercado claude-opus-5.5-high
claude-opus-5.5-high
19 oct a las 4:00 a. m.
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Vol. 855.407 US$
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026
icono de mercado Above 56.6%
Above 56.6%
icono de mercado Above 60.9%
Above 60.9%
19 oct a las 4:00 a. m.
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
Before Nov 13, 2026
Before Nov 6, 2026
Vol. 538.808 US$
When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
icono de mercado Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
icono de mercado Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Dec 1, 2026
Vol. 10.149 US$
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?
Before Nov 27, 2026
Before Nov 13, 2026
Vol. 174.501 US$
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18
icono de mercado Above 168T tokens
Above 168T tokens
icono de mercado Above 170T tokens
Above 170T tokens
18 oct a las 4:00 a. m.
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 140
Above 145
Vol. 1.480.002 US$
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
Vol. 359.371 US$
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Vol. 663.575 US$
Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
icono de mercado Meta
Meta
icono de mercado OpenAI
OpenAI
Vol. 21.695 US$
Pandemic in 2026?
Vol. 1.966.220 US$
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
Central African Republic
South Sudan
Vol. 771.405 US$
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
Vol. 245.516 US$
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1540 score
At least 1550 score
Vol. 205.217 US$
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
Before January 1, 2027
Before December 1, 2026
Vol. 173.466 US$
DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
icono de mercado Above 11.4%
Above 11.4%
icono de mercado Above 12.0%
Above 12.0%
18 oct a las 4:00 a. m.
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Las Vegas, NV
Sacramento, CA
Vol. 540.212 US$
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
Vol. 116.146 US$
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