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Mercados de predicción Science and Technology

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
Vol. 57.986.820 US$
How many launches will SpaceX have in July?
Above 13
Above 14
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
13 jul a las 4:00 p. m.
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
Best AI in Jul 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Vol. 708.064 US$
Top AI model in July?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Top Coding AI this week
ChatGPT
Claude
13 jul a las 4:00 p. m.
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
20 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
South Sudan
Burundi
Vol. 565.651 US$
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Will Sawin
Sam Raskin
Vol. 270.504 US$
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Jul 31, 2026
Before Jul 24, 2026
Vol. 65.463 US$
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
Vol. 262.002 US$
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $7.67
Above $7.37
Vol. 86.272 US$
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
Vol. 1.362.798 US$
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
Vol. 3.125.772 US$
Top Math AI this month
Claude
Gemini
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August
Before July 17th
Vol. 358.367 US$
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
No
Above 6000
No
Vol. 1.291.668 US$
When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Vol. 80.287 US$
When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Aug 14, 2026
Vol. 12.309 US$
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $5.49
Above $5.19
Vol. 50.295 US$
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Vol. 202.429 US$
Will Anthropic disable Fable 5 access for US customers?
Before Aug 31, 2026
Before Jul 31, 2026
Vol. 19.162 US$
Will the FDA approve gedatolisib for advanced breast cancer?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2027
Vol. 11.871 US$
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Apr 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2028
Vol. 126.307 US$
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
Vol. 690.243 US$
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
Vol. 576.339 US$
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 0
Above 3
Vol. 218.724 US$
Pandemic in 2026?
Vol. 1.301.224 US$
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Vol. 987.645 US$