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Mercados de predicción Science and Technology

How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
Above 10
Above 11
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
Vol. 63.683.926 US$
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
Above 10
Above 11
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
Vol. 821.727 US$
Total space launches in August
Above 13
Above 14
Vol. 108.307 US$
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Vol. 1.865.557 US$
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
South Sudan
Burundi
Vol. 703.334 US$
Top AI model in August
claude-opus-5-high
claude-opus-4-7
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
When will OpenAI release Astra?
Before Sep 18, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
Vol. 201.854 US$
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
Vol. 86.504 US$
Top Math AI this month
Kimi
Mimo
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Aug 31, 2026?
Above $6.01
Above $6.11
Vol. 69.146 US$
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Aug 31, 2026?
Above $0.54
Above $0.59
Vol. 77.844 US$
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
Kimi
Grok
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 60%
At least 65%
Vol. 51.722 US$
Top Chinese AI Company this month
DeepSeek
Moonshot
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Aug 31, 2026?
Above $2.96
Above $3.01
Vol. 114.703 US$
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
Vol. 230.616 US$
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
Gemini
GLM
HOY a las 4:00 a. m.
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Vol. 718.394 US$
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Aug 31, 2026?
Above $1.08
Above $1.03
Vol. 46.512 US$
When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
Vol. 208.593 US$
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Vol. 671.947 US$
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
ChatGPT
Vol. 251.802 US$
When will SpaceX launch Dragon Crew-13
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 27, 2026
Vol. 18.125 US$
Next Gemini Pro model release
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
Vol. 19.699 US$
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
Vol. 86.273 US$
Open Source market share on September 2nd
Above 64%
Above 66%
Vol. 2501 US$
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
Vol. 751.825 US$
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
Vol. 193.077 US$
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Before Jul 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
Vol. 73.620 US$