Mercados de predicciones

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 23

Above 25

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 25

Above 27

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 5

Above 6

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Feb 1, 2027

Before Mar 1, 2027

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 6

Above 7

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/2 - 11/8)

November 6

November 4

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)

November 10

November 12

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (November 2026)

At least 8

At least 9

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?

Above 40

Above 30

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Before 2028

Before 2027

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Will the U.S. and Iran hold a China-mediated meeting before Feb 1, 2027?

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