Mercados de predicciones

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jul 1, 2027

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms

Doctors Without Borders

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3)

140-159

160-179

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 332?

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

Scott Jennings

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3)

At least 6

At least 9

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)

Above 25

Above 30

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/28-10/4)

7

6

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 20

Above 30

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?

8.8%

8.9%

Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

Wisconsin

New Hampshire

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026?

38.2%

38.1%

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/27 - 10/3)

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before 2028

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Pete Hegseth

Doug Collins

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Benjamin Netanyahu

Christopher Luxon

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 6

Above 8

When will Trump and Mamdani meet?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 150

Above 200

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)

Above 175

Above 200

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Mar 1, 2027

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

Before Jan 31, 2028

Before Jun 1, 2027

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 175

Above 200

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)

Above 6

Above 8

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