Mercados de predicciones

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 300

Above 310

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 20

Above 22

Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

Above 38.7

38.5 to 38.7

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Susie Wiles

Doug Collins

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Dec 1, 2027

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 185

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026?

38.8%

Below 38.8%

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

160-179

180-199

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

At least 23

At least 24

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

Cassidy Hutchinson

Will the SAVE Act become law?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 2

At least 5

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5

Above 6

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?

James Talarico

Abdul El-Sayed

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Susie Wiles

Pete Hegseth

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?

Above 30

Above 40

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 190

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Above 1

Above 0

Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/9-10/16)

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

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