Mercados de predicciones

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 13, 2026?

38.1%

38.2%

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026?

8.4%

Above 9.0%

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 22

Above 25

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Dec 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2027

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 20

Above 25

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?

James Talarico

Abdul El-Sayed

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 4

Above 5

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 12, 2026?

20-24

15-19

How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 1

At least 3

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

120-139

140-159

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2026

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 260

Above 300

Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

37.9 to 38.1

37.6 to 37.8

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Oct 1, 2027

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Cassidy Hutchinson

Ilhan Omar

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 180

Above 190

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2027

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 200

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 2029

Before Jul 1, 2027

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jan 20, 2029

Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/9-10/16)

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

At least 22

At least 23

How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Oct 2026?

0

1

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