Mercados de predicciones

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jul 1, 2027

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 3, 2026?

38.2%

38.1%

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms

Doctors Without Borders

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

Scott Jennings

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jan 20, 2029

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 332?

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)

Above 25

Above 30

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3)

120-139

140-159

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3)

At least 6

At least 7

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/28-10/4)

7

6

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 20

Above 30

Number of White House Press Briefings in Oct 2026?

At least 2

At least 3

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Who will Trump name as AI czar?

Jay Clayton

Michael Kratsios

Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

North Carolina

New Hampshire

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Pete Hegseth

Doug Collins

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Benjamin Netanyahu

Christopher Luxon

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before 2028

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/27 - 10/3)

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

Below 36%

Below 35%

Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026?

Claudia Sheinbaum

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

Before Jan 31, 2028

Before Jun 1, 2027

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 6

Above 8

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 2, 2026?

10-14

15-19

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 150

Above 200

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