Mercados de predicciones

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

Scott Jennings

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 23

Above 25

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jul 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2028

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 29, 2026?

38.4%

38.5%

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

Corey Lewandowski

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 195

Above 200

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/25-10/31)

180-199

160-179

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/18 - 10/24)

Above 1

Sí

Above 2

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 290

Above 300

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 195

Above 200

Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?

Gadi Eisenkot

Benjamin Netanyahu

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/26-11/1)

7

6

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

At least 23

At least 24

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 5

Above 6

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Aug 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/26 - 11/1)

October 29

November 1

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?

3

2

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/25-10/31)

At least 3

At least 4

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Mike Waltz

Kevin Hassett

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 30, 2026?

James Talarico

Amy Acton

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Trump's approval rating on Oct 30, 2026?

38.3 to 38.5

38.6 to 38.8

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?

Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

Yair Lapid

Benjamin Netanyahu

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?

Samuel Alito

Clarence Thomas

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2028

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