Mercados de predicciones

DeepSeek market share this week

Above 26.4%

Above 27.7%

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude

Gemini

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

Above 10

Above 11

Best AI this week

Gemini

Claude

OpenAI market share this week

Above 17.7%

Above 18.4%

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

OpenAI

Anthropic market share this week

Above 4.9%

Above 5.0%

Best AI in Oct 2026?

Gemini

Claude

Google market share this week

Above 18.0%

Above 19.0%

Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?

At least 185

At least 195

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Before Nov 6, 2026

Before Nov 13, 2026

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Claude

Gemini

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

United States

China

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Detroit, MI

Sacramento, CA

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 35.4%

Above 33.5%

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

No significant difference

Significant decrease

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

Before December 1, 2026

Before January 1, 2027

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1540 score

At least 1550 score

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 6.1%

Above 7.4%

Pandemic in 2026?

How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above 0

Above 1

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

above 1495

above 1515

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Above 140

Above 145

Open vs. Closed Token market share (Vercel) in Oct 20, 2026

Above 54.8%

Above 56.3%

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

Before 2030

Before 2029

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Google

Essential AI

When will any company achieve AGI?

Before Apr 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2028

Top Chinese AI company this month

Xiaomi

Alibaba

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI

xAI

Sports

Crypto

Elecciones

Politics

Entertainment

Mentions

Commodities

Economics

Financials

Weather

Ciencia y tecnología

Empresas

Mercados de predicción Science and Technology

Trending

Sports

Crypto

Elecciones

Politics

Entertainment

Mentions

Commodities

Economics

Financials

Weather

Ciencia y tecnología

Empresas

Social

Mercados de predicción Science and Technology