Mercados de predicciones

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Gemini

Claude

Best AI this month

Gemini

Claude

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?

Before Dec 31, 2026

Before Nov 13, 2026

Best AI this week

Qwen

Amazon Nova

OpenRouter token usage in Nov 2–8, 2026

Above 207T tokens

Above 214T tokens

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 7, 2026

Above 67.9%

Above 73.8%

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Las Vegas, NV

Denver, CO

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

OpenAI

Anthropic market share this week

Above 5.7%

Above 5.9%

DeepSeek market share this week

Above 25.9%

Above 32.1%

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 8, 2026

Above 58.2%

Above 70.9%

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Google market share this week

Above 12.8%

Above 13.8%

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Meta

OpenAI

OpenAI market share this week

Above 19.1%

Above 19.5%

When will Anthropic release Fable 5.2?

Before Dec 16, 2026

Before Nov 16, 2026

Tesla Optimus released this year?

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Clip-on device for clothing

Earbuds/Headphones

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

DeepSeek share of requests on Nov 8, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 14.6%

Above 15.6%

Next Gemini Pro model release

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 16, 2026

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Gemini

Claude

When will Anthropic release a personal AI agent?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

When will any company achieve AGI?

Before Apr 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2028

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?

Before Jan 1, 2035

Before Jan 1, 2033

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030

Before 2028

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1550 score

At least 1600 score

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

above 1490

above 1505

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?

Xiaomi

Google

Moonshot AI share of spend on Nov 8, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 7.0%

Above 9.5%

When will xAI release Grok 5?

Before 2027

Before December

Deportes

Cripto

Elecciones

Política

Entretenimiento

Menciones

Mercancías

Economía

Información financiera

Clima

Ciencia y tecnología

Empresas

Mercados de predicción Science and Technology

Tendencias

Deportes

Cripto

Elecciones

Política

Entretenimiento

Menciones

Mercancías

Economía

Información financiera

Clima

Ciencia y tecnología

Empresas

Redes sociales

Mercados de predicción Science and Technology