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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Detroit, MI
Sacramento, CA
$545,632 vol
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$61,107,064 vol
Google market share this week
Above 18.6%
Above 18.8%
Starts in 1:09:47
Tencent market share this week
Above 6.4%
Above 6.1%
Starts in 1:09:47
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 24%
Above 25.3%
Starts in 1:09:47
Anthropic market share this week
Above 2.85%
Above 2.75%
Starts in 1:09:47
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
Above 7
Above 8
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Qwen market share this week
Above 6.75%
Above 7.45%
Starts in 1:09:47
Best AI this week
Qwen
Amazon Nova
Sep 14 @ 4:00 PM
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
Gemini
$1,240,214 vol
OpenAI market share this week
Above 18.5%
Above 18%
Starts in 1:09:47
OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 14–20
Above 126T tokens
Above 128T tokens
Starts in 1:09:47
Total space launches in September
Above 12
Above 13
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 29, 2026
$97,156 vol
Pandemic in 2026?
$1,518,331 vol
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st
Alibaba
Moonshot
Sep 14 @ 2:00 PM
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 140
Above 145
$1,318,234 vol
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
$329,869 vol
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$127,863 vol
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
Above 24k
Above 30k
$81,809 vol
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
$760,346 vol
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
ChatGPT
$280,726 vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Jan 1, 2027
$1,660,720 vol
Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?
At least 190
At least 195
$116,300 vol
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 9k
Above 10k
$31,982 vol
When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip
Before April 2027
Before 2027
$16,017 vol
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Before 2040
Before 2035
$85,334 vol
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 0
Above 2
$286,565 vol
Top Text to Image AI this week
OpenAI
Microsoft
Sep 25 @ 4:00 AM
Tesla Optimus released this year?
$753,351 vol
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
$296,563 vol