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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Sacramento, CA
Pittsburgh, PA
$501,128 vol
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
$652,985 vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Sep 16, 2026
$1,065,550 vol
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$59,290,840 vol
OpenAI market share this week
Above 16.5%
Above 17.5%
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 31 - Sep 6
Above 104T tokens
Above 118T tokens
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
Xiaomi market share this week
Above 2.6%
Above 2.4%
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
Above 9
Above 10
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Qwen market share this week
Above 5%
Above 4.9%
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
Google market share this week
Above 21.5%
Above 22%
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
ChatGPT
Claude
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 23.5%
Above 26.5%
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
Most popular AI this week
Xiaomi
Z.ai
$40,945 vol
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
$239,256 vol
Anthropic market share this week
Above 2.4%
Above 2.8%
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$1,449,232 vol
Top AI model in September?
claude-fable-5.1-max
claude-opus-5-max
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 140
Above 160
$1,251,389 vol
Top Chinese AI Company this month
Alibaba
Moonshot
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$107,832 vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,584,801 vol
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030 market icon
Before 2030
Before 2029 market icon
Before 2029
$1,069,307 vol
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
When will OpenAI release Astra?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
$443,071 vol
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2029
$203,428 vol
Tencent market share this week
Above 2.4%
Above 2.6%
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
Will the FDA approve camizestrant for advanced breast cancer?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Jan 1, 2027
$39,395 vol
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
$317,445 vol
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$699,411 vol
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
Burundi
Central African Republic
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
ChatGPT
Claude
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM