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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Best AI at the end of 2026?
Gemini market icon
Gemini
Claude market icon
Claude
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 31.7% market icon
Above 31.7%
Above 31.2% market icon
Above 31.2%
$166,006 vol
Google market share this week
Above 14.3% market icon
Above 14.3%
Above 14.9% market icon
Above 14.9%
$119,741 vol
OpenAI market share this week
Above 18.9% market icon
Above 18.9%
Above 19.1% market icon
Above 19.1%
$82,391 vol
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 12, 2026
Above 64.4% market icon
Above 64.4%
Above 67.4% market icon
Above 67.4%
TODAY @ 5:00 AM
Best AI this month
Gemini market icon
Gemini
Claude market icon
Claude
Nov 30 @ 5:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic market icon
Anthropic
OpenAI market icon
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Anthropic market share this week
Above 6.0% market icon
Above 6.0%
Above 6.3% market icon
Above 6.3%
$69,457 vol
Best AI this week
Gemini market icon
Gemini
Claude market icon
Claude
Nov 9 @ 5:00 PM
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$284,126 vol
Next Gemini Pro model release
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 16, 2026
$68,065 vol
OpenRouter token usage in Nov 9–15, 2026
Above 215T tokens market icon
Above 215T tokens
Above 218T tokens market icon
Above 218T tokens
$23,995 vol
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?
Before Dec 31, 2026
Before Nov 13, 2026
$435,255 vol
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 13, 2026
Above 67.4% market icon
Above 67.4%
Above 68.8% market icon
Above 68.8%
Nov 14 @ 5:00 AM
Tesla Optimus released this year?
$491,611 vol
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
$94,586 vol
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
Before Jan 1, 2030
Before Jan 1, 2029
$58,519 vol
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Denver, CO
Las Vegas, NV
$491,728 vol
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030 market icon
Before 2030
Before 2028 market icon
Before 2028
$903,067 vol
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI market icon
OpenAI
Meta market icon
Meta
$480,905 vol
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
$21,787 vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$583,416 vol
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 14, 2026
Above 71.7% market icon
Above 71.7%
Above 72.3% market icon
Above 72.3%
Nov 15 @ 5:00 AM
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
$224,941 vol
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
Nevada
Georgia
$45,004 vol
Top Chinese AI company this month
Xiaomi market icon
Xiaomi
Alibaba market icon
Alibaba
Nov 30 @ 5:00 AM
When will AI score above 185 on Epoch Capabilities Index?
Before Feb 1, 2027 market icon
Before Feb 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027 market icon
Before Apr 1, 2027
$3,512 vol
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
$4,030 vol
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 70%
At least 80%
$17,263 vol
Top Chinese AI Company week of November 16th
Xiaomi market icon
Xiaomi
Alibaba market icon
Alibaba
Nov 9 @ 3:00 PM
Top AI model this month
Gemini 4 Carbon (High) market icon
Gemini 4 Carbon (High)
claude-opus-5.5-high market icon
claude-opus-5.5-high
Nov 30 @ 5:00 AM
Most popular AI this week
OpenAI market icon
OpenAI
Anthropic market icon
Anthropic
Nov 15 @ 5:00 AM
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