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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Denver, CO
Yes
Sacramento, CA
$554,458 vol
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Best AI this week
Claude
Gemini
Sep 21 @ 4:00 PM
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 25.2%
Above 25.4%
Sep 28 @ 2:00 PM
Tencent market share this week
Above 4.9%
Above 5.7%
Sep 28 @ 2:00 PM
Anthropic market share this week
Above 2.5%
Above 2.6%
Sep 28 @ 2:00 PM
Google market share this week
Above 19.3%
Above 18.8%
Sep 28 @ 2:00 PM
Xiaomi market share this week
Above 1.8%
Above 1.9%
Sep 28 @ 2:00 PM
Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 18%
Above 20%
$36,163 vol
OpenAI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 24%
Above 25.5%
$34,346 vol
OpenAI market share this week
Above 16.9%
Above 17.8%
Sep 28 @ 2:00 PM
Qwen market share this week
Above 6.5%
Above 6.6%
Sep 28 @ 2:00 PM
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
Qwen
$1,227,003 vol
OpenAI share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 16%
Above 18%
$22,250 vol
DeepSeek share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 18%
Above 24%
$18,851 vol
Google share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 12%
Above 15%
$18,184 vol
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
ChatGPT
Claude
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,675,866 vol
OpenRouter token usage in Sep 21–27
Above 156T tokens
Above 158T tokens
Sep 27 @ 4:00 AM
When will Google release Gemini 4?
Before Dec 15, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
$83,359 vol
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
$69,976 vol
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
Claude
ChatGPT
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Top Open Source AI this week
Xiaomi
GLM
Sep 25 @ 4:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Next Gemini Pro model release
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
$41,783 vol
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
$269,586 vol
Top AI model in September?
claude-fable-5.1-max
claude-opus-5-max
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 65%
At least 60%
$74,868 vol
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th
Alibaba
Z.ai
Sep 21 @ 2:00 PM
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st
Alibaba
Moonshot
$80,526 vol
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
$362,448 vol
Top Chinese AI Company this month
Alibaba
Moonshot
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM