Prediction Markets

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep

D-House, R-Senate

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Above 249

230-233

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%

Democrats, 10 to 12%

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

Closest Senate race in 2026?

Texas

Iowa

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico

Bo French & Ken Paxton

Florida Governor-Senate combo

Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win

David Jolly and Angie Nixon win

How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?

Exactly 0

Exactly 1

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

Maine Governor-Senate combo

Hannah Pingree and Troy Jackson win

Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win

Kelly Ayotte and John E. Sununu win

Ohio Governor-Senate combo

Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win

Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win

Minnesota Governor-Senate combo

Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win

Lisa Demuth and Michele Tafoya win

Texas Governor-Senate combo

Greg Abbott and James Talarico win

Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win

How many House seats will Democrats win in California?

48

47

How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?

5 or more

Exactly 4

Closest Governor race in 2026?

Georgia

Ohio

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

Ty Masterson and Roger Marshall win

Ty Masterson and Adam Hamilton win

Iowa Governor-Senate combo

Rob Sand and Josh Turek win

Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win

How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

12

11

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win

Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win

How many House seats will Democrats win in North Carolina?

5

4

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Democratic Party

Republican Party

How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

9

10

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

At least 28

At least 31

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep

Democratic Governor, Republican Senator

Michigan Governor-Senate combo

Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win

Jocelyn Benson and Mike Rogers win

How many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio?

6

5

How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?

7

8

Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo

Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House

Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor

Midterms: Blue trickle?

How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?

5

6

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