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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Las Vegas, NV
Sacramento, CA
$545,010 vol
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Anthropic market share this week
Above 2.75%
Above 2.85%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$61,094,010 vol
Tencent market share this week
Above 6.1%
Above 6.4%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Google market share this week
Above 18.6%
Above 18.8%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 24.7%
Above 25.3%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
Above 7
Above 8
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Qwen market share this week
Above 6.75%
Above 7.45%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
Gemini
$1,240,214 vol
Best AI this week
Qwen
Amazon Nova
Sep 14 @ 4:00 PM
OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 14–20
Above 126T tokens
Above 128T tokens
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
OpenAI market share this week
Above 18%
Above 18.5%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Total space launches in September
Above 12
Above 13
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Pandemic in 2026?
$1,518,331 vol
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
Before Sep 30, 2026
Before Sep 29, 2026
$92,678 vol
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st
Alibaba
Moonshot
Sep 14 @ 2:00 PM
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
$329,806 vol
When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip
Before April 2027
Before 2027
$16,017 vol
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
Above 26k
Above 30k
$81,804 vol
Top Text to Image AI this week
OpenAI
Black Forest Labs
Sep 25 @ 4:00 AM
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
$759,921 vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Jan 1, 2027
$1,660,720 vol
Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?
At least 190
At least 195
$116,297 vol
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 9k
Above 10k
$31,982 vol
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$125,893 vol
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 0
Above 2
$286,563 vol
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Before 2040
Before 2035
$85,328 vol
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
$1,583,405 vol
Most popular AI this week
DeepSeek
Google
Sep 13 @ 4:00 AM
Tesla Optimus released this year?
$753,254 vol
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
$360,757 vol