Prediction Markets

OpenAI market share this week

Above 15.1%

Above 17.1%

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude

Gemini

DeepSeek market share this week

Above 21.7%

Above 23.2%

Google market share this week

Above 16.2%

Above 17.4%

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026

Above 64.1%

Above 65.9%

Best AI this week

Qwen

Amazon Nova

Best AI in Oct 2026?

Gemini

Claude

Anthropic market share this week

Above 2.8%

Above 3.2%

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Before Nov 13, 2026

Before Nov 6, 2026

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Claude

Gemini

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)

Claude

ChatGPT

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI

xAI

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Anthropic

xAI

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Las Vegas, NV

Sacramento, CA

Top AI model this week

gemini-4-argon-high

claude-opus-5.5-high

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1540 score

At least 1550 score

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030

Before 2028

When will any company achieve AGI?

Before Apr 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2028

Top Coding AI this week

ChatGPT

Dola

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

OpenAI

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Top AI model this month

gemini-4-argon-high

claude-opus-5.5-high

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th

Alibaba

Baidu

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

At least 60%

At least 65%

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2027

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?

Top Chinese AI company this month

Xiaomi

Alibaba

Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Above $6.09

Above $6.69

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 19.8%

Above 21.7%

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 22, 2026

Above 54.9%

Above 47.3%

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