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Politics Prediction Markets

Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$715,808 vol
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Scott Jennings
Anna Kelly
$11,286,221 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/13-9/19)
120-139
100-119
$386,964 vol
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
$6,831,939 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
$673,975 vol
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$20,604,811 vol
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/13-9/19)
At least 1
At least 10
$271,265 vol
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
$10,415,960 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 20
Above 25
$366,781 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth market icon
Pete Hegseth
Amy Gleason market icon
Amy Gleason
$8,324,125 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
$5,951,390 vol
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$600 billion to $899 billion
$3,433,094 vol
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
Venezuela market icon
Venezuela
Cuba market icon
Cuba
$3,604,558 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$27,414,964 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
$7,177,215 vol
How many bills will President Trump sign in Sep 2026?
10
9
$62,124 vol
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,150,349 vol
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
Above 175
Above 225
$26,110 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$3,766,038 vol
When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
$29,381 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
$422,157 vol
Which AI CEOs will Trump meet this month?
Mark Zuckerberg
Dario Amodei
$21,658 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Above 25
Above 30
$16,987 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 5
Above 10
$116,433 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$6,583,865 vol
Will the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
$20,579 vol
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
$1,587,507 vol
Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026?
39.4 to 39.6
39.7 to 39.9
$10,443 vol
Will Trump declare an election emergency?
$385,062 vol
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
John Brennan market icon
John Brennan
Leon Black market icon
Leon Black
$3,210,699 vol
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/13 - 9/19)
$16,742 vol
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
Ahmed al-Sharaa market icon
Ahmed al-Sharaa
Ted Cruz market icon
Ted Cruz
$66,273 vol