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Politics Prediction Markets

US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$7,019,589 vol
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$20,914,014 vol
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Anna Kelly
Scott Jennings
$11,546,920 vol
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
$1,731,720 vol
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026?
40.1%
40.0%
Sep 20 @ 2:00 PM
Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026?
40.0 to 40.2
39.7 to 39.9
$88,025 vol
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/14-9/20)
3
4
$153,374 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 25
Above 30
$485,870 vol
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$793,029 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$27,479,149 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/20-9/26)
120-139
100-119
$38,776 vol
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,177,526 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth market icon
Pete Hegseth
Doug Collins market icon
Doug Collins
$8,358,212 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 5
Above 10
$157,362 vol
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October?
$130,210 vol
How many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Sep 2026?
2
3
$67,354 vol
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before 2028
Before 2027
$1,794,073 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
$7,210,532 vol
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
$10,448,669 vol
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 25, 2026?
James Talarico
Abdul El-Sayed
$20,117 vol
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
$14,847,966 vol
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
$2,325,262 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Above 25
Above 30
$46,690 vol
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 175
Above 200
$96,396 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
$439,984 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?
$143,453 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$3,780,151 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
$5,966,141 vol
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
Before Apr 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
$26,760 vol
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?
Before June 2027
Before 2028
$419,643 vol
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Above 66
Above 58
$359,738 vol
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$10 billion to $99 billion
$3,442,693 vol