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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$21,103,228 vol
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Scott Jennings
Anna Kelly
$11,686,438 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$7,245,099 vol
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$908,173 vol
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
Below 39.9%
40.1%
TODAY @ 2:00 PM
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$27,561,316 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
$7,299,108 vol
Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026?
39.7 to 39.9
40.0 to 40.2
$165,054 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 25
Above 30
$533,787 vol
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
$14,889,825 vol
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
$10,485,537 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/20-9/26)
120-139
100-119
$65,389 vol
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/19-9/25)
At least 10
At least 15
$42,005 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$3,813,355 vol
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/20-9/26)
At least 5
At least 6
$32,762 vol
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
$1,748,500 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 5
Above 10
$175,636 vol
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October?
$145,888 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?
$154,982 vol
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 25, 2026?
James Talarico
Abdul El-Sayed
$21,480 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth market icon
Pete Hegseth
Lee Zeldin market icon
Lee Zeldin
$8,375,450 vol
Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?
$545,264 vol
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/21-9/27)
6
7
$19,808 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
$453,759 vol
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before 2028
Before 2027
$1,798,551 vol
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/20 - 9/26)
$15,580 vol
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
Oct 9 @ 9:00 AM
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/18-9/25)
$19,434 vol
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
$6,862,623 vol
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
John Brennan market icon
John Brennan
Leon Black market icon
Leon Black
$3,228,732 vol
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$600 billion to $899 billion
$3,451,006 vol
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,184,523 vol