Prediction Markets

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026?

Below 38.8%

38.8%

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

Tucker Carlson

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 300

Above 310

Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

38.5 to 38.7

Above 38.7

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Susie Wiles

Amy Gleason

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 20

Above 22

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 185

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2027

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 1

At least 2

Will the SAVE Act become law?

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jul 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2028

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 1

At least 10

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5

Above 6

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

160-179

180-199

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 190

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 16, 2026?

20-24

25-29

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

October 13

October 14

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/10-10/16)

At least 15

At least 20

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

At least 23

At least 24

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 16, 2026?

8.1%

7.9%

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Above 0

Above 1

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Susie Wiles

Howard Lutnick

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

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