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Politics Prediction Markets

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026?
38.8%
38.7%
Sep 29 @ 2:00 PM
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$23,532,244 vol
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms
Doctors Without Borders
Oct 9 @ 9:00 AM
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 30, 2026?
Above 8.5%
8.5%
Sep 29 @ 2:00 PM
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
Above 20
Above 25
$155,698 vol
How many states will Trump visit in Sep 2026?
At least 9
At least 12
$311,575 vol
Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$185,708 vol
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Anna Kelly
Scott Jennings
$12,541,239 vol
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$1,901,973 vol
Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026?
38.5 to 38.7
38.2 to 38.4
$90,453 vol
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3)
At least 6
At least 7
$75,185 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$8,244,100 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$27,844,284 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
$7,481,617 vol
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
$155,779 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
$6,106,358 vol
Will Democrats win a House supermajority in the Midterms?
$28,148 vol
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
Germany market icon
Germany
Israel market icon
Israel
$946,613 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3)
140-159
120-139
$141,184 vol
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/28-10/4)
7
6
$118,619 vol
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Sep 2026?
3
0
$193,634 vol
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (9/27 - 10/3)
Above 0
Above 1
$32,279 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Doug Collins market icon
Doug Collins
Pete Hegseth market icon
Pete Hegseth
$8,600,429 vol
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
$2,745,907 vol
Will Trump resign during his term?
$900,832 vol
Will the SAVE America Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$3,378,086 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
Above 6
Above 8
$33,940 vol
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Christopher Luxon market icon
Christopher Luxon
Benjamin Netanyahu market icon
Benjamin Netanyahu
$7,079,390 vol
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
$6,923,736 vol
Will Trump declare an election emergency?
$424,508 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 332?
$234,343 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4)
October 2
September 28
$19,897 vol
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