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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Sacramento, CA
Detroit, MI
$500,236 vol
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
$576,936 vol
Qwen market share this week
Above 5.3%
Above 5.5%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$59,261,721 vol
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
ChatGPT
Claude
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 31 - Sep 6
Above 114T tokens
Above 116T tokens
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$1,441,982 vol
OpenAI market share this week
Above 18.5%
Above 19.5%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Sep 16, 2026
$1,033,736 vol
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
Above 9
Above 10
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Top Open Source AI this week
Kimi
GLM
Sep 11 @ 4:00 AM
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2029
$199,747 vol
Xiaomi market share this week
Above 3.8%
Above 2.4%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Top Text to Video AI this week
Google
PixVerse
Sep 11 @ 4:00 AM
Top Text to Image AI this week
OpenAI
Google
Sep 11 @ 4:00 AM
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 23.5%
Above 24.5%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Anthropic market share this week
Above 2.8%
Above 3.0%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Google market share this week
Above 20%
Above 20.5%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Top Text to Speech AI this week
Cartesia
Alibaba
Sep 11 @ 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,579,928 vol
Top Chinese AI Company this month
Alibaba
Moonshot
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Top AI model in September?
claude-fable-5.1-max
claude-opus-5-high
Sep 30 @ 4:00 AM
Tencent market share this week
Above 2.4%
Above 2.6%
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
When will OpenAI release Astra?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Sep 18, 2026
$438,871 vol
When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
Before 2032
Before 2035
$231,330 vol
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 18, 2026
$91,484 vol
Most popular AI this week
Xiaomi
Z.ai
Aug 30 @ 4:00 AM
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 1
Above 0
$278,001 vol
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
$1,563,309 vol
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
$229,193 vol