Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Dec 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2027

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 14, 2026?

Above 38.4%

38.4%

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 13, 2026?

8.4%

Above 9.0%

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 20

Above 22

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Cassidy Hutchinson

Ilhan Omar

Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

37.9 to 38.1

38.2 to 38.4

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

120-139

140-159

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/10-10/16)

At least 10

At least 15

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 190

Above 200

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?

1

2

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 280

Above 290

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Doug Collins

Pete Hegseth

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2027

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

At least 22

At least 23

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?

James Talarico

Abdul El-Sayed

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5

Above 6

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Oct 2026?

0

1

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 5

At least 6

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

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