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Politics Prediction Markets

Will the SAVE Act become law?
$15,100,345 vol
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Anna Kelly market icon
Anna Kelly
Scott Jennings market icon
Scott Jennings
$4,968,708 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/25-10/31)
280-299 market icon
280-299
260-279 market icon
260-279
$331,498 vol
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 31, 2026?
38.4% market icon
38.4%
38.6% market icon
38.6%
Oct 30 @ 2:00 PM
Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?
$677,200 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$4,349,128 vol
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2028
$10,953,621 vol
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/25-10/31)
At least 2 market icon
At least 2
At least 3 market icon
At least 3
$126,816 vol
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/25-10/31)
At least 1 market icon
At least 1
At least 10 market icon
At least 10
$151,615 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
$4,204,871 vol
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/26-11/1)
6 market icon
6
7 market icon
7
$161,290 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Mike Waltz market icon
Mike Waltz
Susie Wiles market icon
Susie Wiles
$4,743,554 vol
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Ilhan Omar market icon
Ilhan Omar
John Brennan market icon
John Brennan
$2,233,333 vol
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
Above 190 market icon
Above 190
Above 195 market icon
Above 195
$148,423 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
Above 23 market icon
Above 23
Above 25 market icon
Above 25
$186,990 vol
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
Above 190 market icon
Above 190
Above 195 market icon
Above 195
$153,713 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Aug 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
$3,389,851 vol
How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
At least 23
At least 24
$121,540 vol
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
$803,154 vol
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/25 - 10/31)
Above 0 market icon
Above 0
Above 1 market icon
Above 1
$20,558 vol
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
Ohio
Mississippi
$2,411,398 vol
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
$1,260,727 vol
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
Before Apr 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
$713,167 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/26 - 11/1)
October 30 market icon
October 30
October 29 market icon
October 29
$38,598 vol
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
Above 290 market icon
Above 290
Above 300 market icon
Above 300
$125,394 vol
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Before January 20, 2029 market icon
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028 market icon
Before 2028
$7,771,944 vol
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/25 - 10/31)
$15,000 vol
Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?
Chili Tropper
Yair Lapid
Oct 27 @ 4:00 AM
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?
3
2
$145,958 vol
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
$4,244,211 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Apr 1, 2027
Before Feb 1, 2027
$385,253 vol
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Pete Hegseth
Susie Wiles
$337,349 vol
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