Prediction Markets

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

Scott Jennings

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jul 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2028

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 25, 2026?

38.8%

38.7%

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 23

Above 25

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

Corey Lewandowski

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2028

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 195

Above 200

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 185

Above 190

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/18-10/24)

At least 7

At least 8

Will France declare a state of emergency?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2026

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Aug 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

At least 23

At least 24

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 185

Above 190

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/18 - 10/24)

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 290

Above 300

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?

3

2

Will the White House announce a briefing room swimming pool?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2027

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/18 - 10/24)

Above 2

Above 3

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/19-10/25)

4

5

Trump's approval rating on Oct 30, 2026?

38.6 to 38.8

38.3 to 38.5

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Susie Wiles

Doug Collins

How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/18-10/24)

At least 1

At least 10

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 290

Above 300

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 24, 2026?

8.4%

8.3%

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

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