Prediction Markets

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

Above 3.5%

Above 3.6%

CPI in September

Above 0.5%

Above 0.6%

How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

Above 91,500 MW

Above 92,000 MW

CPI core in September

Above 0.1%

Above 0.2%

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

Above 2.0 million

Above 2.1 million

South Dakota corn yield in 2026

Above 150 bu/acre

Above 155 bu/acre

Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Above 2.3%

Above 2.4%

US gas prices this week

Above 4.3000

Above 4.3200

Iowa ethanol production in 2026

Above 4.5 billion gallons

Above 4.6 billion gallons

California permitted housing units in 2026

Above 110,000

Above 115,000

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

Above 84,000 jobs

Above 85,000 jobs

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Hike 25bps

Fed maintains rate

Wyoming total coal production in 2026

Above 200 MMst

Above 210 MMst

Diesel price on Election Day

Above $6.20

Above $6.40

Texas crude oil production in 2026

Above 5.8 million barrels/day

Above 5.9 million barrels/day

CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?

Exactly 3.7%

Exactly 3.6%

Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026

Above 95.0 TWh

Above 97.5 TWh

EV commodity prices on Oct 13, 2026

Above 1178.88

Above 1188.88

CPI core in October

Above 0.1%

Above 0.2%

Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026

Above 3,500 units

Above 4,000 units

Maine lobster landings in 2026

Above 70 million pounds

Above 75 million pounds

Diesel prices this week

Above $6.26

Above $6.28

30-year mortgage rate this week

Above 7.38%

Above 7.40%

Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

Above 4.30

Above 4.40

Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026

Above 1,800 units

Above 1,900 units

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Above 4.00%

Above 4.25%

How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?

Below $4.25

Below $4.20

Number of rate hikes in 2026?

Exactly 2

Exactly 1

Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Above 2.8%

Above 2.7%

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts

Exactly 1 cut

Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)

Above 3.8%

Above 3.9%

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